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Fel_230's avatar

I understand Rolls Royce has had years and years of disappointing results even before COVID. Challenging operational issues. Yes there's a new CEO (again) but how can one be somewhat more confident that those issues are behind them?

Doug O'Laughlin's avatar

Like it’s a function of installed base x utilization, and both of those are *not* in RR. Hands. So I think that makes me feel way better, it’s not them, it’s the tide

Doug O'Laughlin's avatar

I think that rising tide lifts all boats. Rolls Royce didn't massively fuck up their business, rather the switch to EFH they did it first, and now Safran and others have done it.

I think the timing of the turnaround made it much more challenging, especially around COVID. The company likely was "better" than COVID made it seem, but obviously not good. In this case I will believe that their hyper torque to China's reopening is more important than any other factor. The rate of change for them is meaningful, and their intial guide at ~90% at 2019 seems like it will likely be wrong if the RBC scraping data is correct

Tealeaf's avatar

Kicking myself for missing IPAR after you wrote it. Really like the EL & EWQ idea

Karthik's avatar

I think Air India's new order of 40 A350 will be powered by Rolls Royce

Doug O'Laughlin's avatar

Airbus massively overweights rolls Royce!