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Capital Cycles and AI
What is a capital cycle and why AI is building the mother of all capital cycles
Jan 13
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Doug O'Laughlin
90
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Capital Cycles and AI
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2025 AI & Semiconductor Outlook
O3 and what's next. Marginal costs are coming for tech companies.
Jan 3
•
Doug O'Laughlin
and
Alpha Hunter
114
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2025 AI & Semiconductor Outlook
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65
December 2024
Scaling Laws Meet Economics, but Adoption is still Accelerating
Economics is the primary Scaling Constraint, and despite it ChatGPT usage is hitting real scale.
Dec 19, 2024
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Doug O'Laughlin
55
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Scaling Laws Meet Economics, but Adoption is still Accelerating
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The Death of Intel: When Boards Fail
Pat lost his seat because of an incompetent board. Let's meet them.
Dec 5, 2024
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Doug O'Laughlin
157
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The Death of Intel: When Boards Fail
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November 2024
Happy Thanksgiving Semicap & Semiconductors
Export controls are a buying event
Nov 29, 2024
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Doug O'Laughlin
and
Alpha Hunter
22
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Happy Thanksgiving Semicap & Semiconductors
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NVIDIA: Waiting on Blackwell, and the Networking Question
A brief update on Fabricated Knowledge, and then an update on Nvidia.
Nov 21, 2024
•
Doug O'Laughlin
63
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NVIDIA: Waiting on Blackwell, and the Networking Question
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9
Earnings: ENTG, ALAB, LSCC, SITM, QCOM, MCHP, WOLF, ARM, ACLS, AAOI, ANET, LITE, COHR
Read throughs for the entire space.
Nov 11, 2024
12
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Earnings: ENTG, ALAB, LSCC, SITM, QCOM, MCHP, WOLF, ARM, ACLS, AAOI, ANET, LITE, COHR
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2
The Rise of Amazon's Trainium 2
The second real hyperscaler custom silicon program will make big waves in the semiconductor industry. Amazon is waking up.
Nov 4, 2024
•
Doug O'Laughlin
50
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The Rise of Amazon's Trainium 2
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3
Earnings: ON, AMKR, RMBS, UCTT, AMD, ASMI, KLAC, MPWR, ALGM, STM, INTC
Nov 4, 2024
•
Doug O'Laughlin
14
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Earnings: ON, AMKR, RMBS, UCTT, AMD, ASMI, KLAC, MPWR, ALGM, STM, INTC
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October 2024
Earnings: TXN, LRCX, MXL, SK Hynix, TER, BESI
Better than feared for Lam, Telecom is ripping off the bottom.
Oct 27, 2024
•
Doug O'Laughlin
13
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Earnings: TXN, LRCX, MXL, SK Hynix, TER, BESI
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13
Idea in Smartphones
A few things make me think that it's time.
Oct 22, 2024
•
Doug O'Laughlin
22
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Idea in Smartphones
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Earnings: TSMC, ASML, AEHR, Telecom
It's probably peak lithography for ASML. TSMC flexes pricing power, and AEHR.
Oct 20, 2024
•
Doug O'Laughlin
65
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Earnings: TSMC, ASML, AEHR, Telecom
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